Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Is it Time for an Electoral Hero?

The Republican and Democratic races toward the White House began way too early. As an observer of politics who usually loves to see as many debates as possible, in this election cycle I have actually grown weary of hearing the candidates rehash the same talking points over and over again. The dipping of a dainty toe into the electoral water by Fred Thompson has done little to ignite my excitement for the rapidly approaching primary season.

Before Iowa holds its "First-In-the-Nation" Caucuses sometime in early September, maybe we should be rooting for an electoral hero; hoping for someone exciting, someone with vastly different and interesting ideas.

Somebody certainly needs to shake up this quickly stagnating presidential election before we have to listen to two candidates spouting the same noise instead of 20. Here is a list of the potential late entrants, dark horses and third party candidates and the odds for you betting folk.


Ralph Nader (2:1)

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

"Hi. Remember me? I got the Pinto off the road."

Nader has indicated his interest in running as an independent in 2008 if Democrats nominate Hillary Clinton. As much of a joke as Ralph Nader was in 2004, his flimsy pretense for getting back into politics in 2008 is even more ridiculous. Dennis Kucinich could get the nomination and Ralph Nader would still waste our time and ballot space with his agenda. I think the odds of Nader doing something sane like running for Congress or a mayoral office are very long, somewhere near 1,000:1.


Michael Bloomberg (8:1)

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

"You talkin' to me?"

Bloomberg would have been a great vice presidential candidate in the 19th century with his massive bank roll, his seeming disinterest in the presidency and his clout in a state that both parties want. Bloomberg could mobilize hundreds of millions for a 50 state campaign but he may not win his own state with Rudy and Hillary in the race. This is my personal favorite though he is an unlikely entrant at this point.


Al Gore (12:1)

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

After his departure from politics, Al Gore briefly moonlighted as a model for JC Penney's catologues.

Al had his chance to break into the Democratic primary process with the massive media coverage of Live Aid. He could have been the first to enter the race after the opening of An Inconvenient Truth last year. Gore may have plenty of clout in the Democratic Party and a new found respect from the grassroots. The problem for the former vice president is getting an organization going and competing against people who have been in the race answering questions for six months.


John McCain (100:1)

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket


I know that John McCain is technically, already running for the Republican nomination. However, I think it would be clever for the senator to put on a fake moustache and monocle and debate the merits of John McCain's Iraq policy as "Jon McKannt." He would probably outrun himself and maybe even get the vice presidential nod as his alter ego.


Okay, seriously. The problem with third party candidates is that they get lumped in with goofy and quixotic campaigns by past candidates like Ross Perot, Pat Paulson, Ralph Nader and Henry Wallace in the 1948 election. I guess my only hope is for a savior who will leave my money alone and help turn this country around to arise from within the two major parties. If a good independent candidate emerges, I will gladly cast my vote. Unfortunately, I know that most people in my community will not because they have been scared into believing that anyone without an (R) or (D) next to their name is some nut job.

-Nicholas Katers

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, and the Low Road.

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Hey Mitt, remember where your other fingers are pointing.



Mitt Romney and Barack Obama continue the assault on their top tier competition, with Mitt lashing out at Rudy Giuliani on illegal immigration and Obama's wife making a thinly veiled accusation that Hillary hasn't been able to run her own house and therefore can't run the White House. While the tactics aren't necessarily symptomatic of desperation in their campaigns, they do serve as reminders that the clock is ticking and these two candidates need to make up some ground. Going on the offensive is obviously a common tactic in any political race, but in these two cases, I believe that taking the low road is a huge mistake, and here's why.

First up, Mitt Romney.

While Rudy Giuliani has stayed relatively tight-lipped regarding his competition, Mitt Romney has drawn battle lines with the former New York Mayor on the illegal immigration issue.

It started recently when in a speech Romney stated, "If you look at lists compiled on Web sites of sanctuary cities, New York is at the top of the list when Mayor Giuliani was mayor." he then followed this up with, "He instructed city workers not to provide information to the federal government that would allow them to enforce the law. New York City was the poster child for sanctuary cities in the country." And the first stone was cast.

But Mitt's campaign wasn't done swinging its sword just yet. In a recent ad from the Romney Camp a narrator informs us that, "Immigration laws don’t work if they’re ignored. That’s the problem with cities like Newark, San Francisco and New York City that adopt sanctuary policies. Sanctuary cities become magnets that encourage illegal immigration and undermine
secure borders.”

Immigration is undoubtedly one of the top issues for Republican Voters in 2008. So how is it a bad move on Romney's part to reinforce the notion that he will be tough on immigration as president, whereas Rudy Giuliani might not?

Because, like almost every other major issue, Romney has famously "flip-flopped" on immigration as well.

(Seriously, I don't know which is more disturbing: The idea that Romney thinks we are so dumb that we won't remember or bother to look up his past stance on an issue. Or the idea that he is so dumb that he doesn't remember it himself. Call me crazy, but I have a feeling it's the former instead of the latter.)

For instance, while Romney has recently stated in regards to the recent bill many claimed was merely watered-down amnesty, "McCain-Kennedy isn't the answer", his position was a little different just two years ago.

In a November 2005 interview with the Boston Globe, Romney described immigration proposals by McCain and others as "quite different" from amnesty, because they required illegal immigrants to register with the government, work for years, pay taxes, not take public benefits, and pay a fine before applying for citizenship.

"That's very different than amnesty, where you literally say, 'OK, everybody here gets to stay,' "Romney said in the interview. "It's saying you could work your way into becoming a legal resident of the country by working here without taking benefits and then applying and then paying a fine."

Romney has also had his own trouble regarding the issue, when it was discovered that some of the people that took care of his lawn were actually... illegal immigrants.

From the Boston Globe:

A top aide to Gov. Mitt Romney said Friday the Republican was unaware that several of the workers employed by a lawn care company hired to take care of the grounds at his suburban home were illegal immigrants.

The Boston Globe said it interviewed in Spanish four current and former employees of Community Lawn Service with a Heart who worked on Romney's property. All but one said they were in the United States illegally.


No Sh*t! His f*cking groundskeepers were illegal immigrants! How many jokes can Leno and Letterman come up with from that?

And then there is the time that Massachusetts, under Mitt's governorship, gave grants to a firm that used the money to train illegal immigrants.

It's impossible for me to understand just how Mitt thinks that he won't end up with egg on his face over this one. I guess it's the same way he thought he could slither through the abortion issue.

As for Barack Obama, it's really short and sweet.

Barack, what happened to the "Politics of Hope"? What happened to the promise of elevating the political atmosphere from its incestuous mud pit? In the past month or so, Barack Obama has apparently decided to drop the strategy which garnered him so much of his popularity. His constant verbal attack on front-runner Hillary Clinton has obviously not helped him in the polls, with Clinton now pulling ahead by a large margin in key states.

Setting a qualifier for the Oval Office with a personal family matter like your wife did recently only serves the Hillary campaign. It boosts her sympathy vote. People know Bill cheated on her, but that doesn't hurt her at all. Many women can and will sympathize with her, and might ultimately view the statement by your wife as a cheap shot.

Barack, I'd recommend reigning in the wife and the verbal attacks until you lock down the Vice President nod.

Monday, August 20, 2007

Elvira Arellano: Looking at Illegal Immigration Through an Objective Lens.


Elvira Arellano has made quite a name for herself in the past year regarding one of the most dividing issues in the country, illegal immigration. When the Mexican citizen from San Miguel Curahuango, Michoacán, discovered that she was due to be deported in August 2006, the thirty-two year old woman took sanctuary in the Adalberto United Methodist Church on Division Street in Chicago, and thrust herself onto the national stage. Now, exactly one year later, Ms. Arellano has been deported back to Mexico after leaving Adalberto United Methodist Church in order to attend and speak at a pro-immigration rally in Los Angeles, California. Ms. Arellano's deportation has, as expected, caused a flare up between the two opposing sides of the immigration debate.

So obviously, with this plastered across the headlines today, I got to thinking about the immigration debate, and more specifically Elvira Arellano's deportation. I've really tried to look at it from every angle and avoid passing judgement without looking objectively at all the information available on the subject. What I discovered for the most part were that the arguments being made from both sides often lack rationality and perspective.

What is disturbing in the debate over illegal immigration is the trend to label those opposed to open border policies as heartless racists. It is constantly insinuated that any person who openly opposes the current U.S. immigration policy and lack of enforcement is at best unknowingly biggoted and at worst a proud member of some violently racist community. The subject is almost always presented as cut and dry and lacking in nuance or variability; those opposed to illegal immigration are inherently xenophobic, jingoistic, misanthropes completely incapable of empathy, and in turn those that are pro-illegal-immigration are sympathetic, caring, humanists looking out for their fellow man.

(Don't get me wrong, both sides of the issue are more than capable of using hyperbole and false rhetoric to push their agenda, and yes there are some racists and bigots who are anti-immigrant whether legal or not, but since we are discussing the subject of Ms. Arellano's situation and subsequent deportation, I feel the need to address the biased argument presented by those who think that Ms. Arellano should be given amnesty and immunity.)

Ms. Arellano's entrance into the U.S. and defiance of immigration laws is symptomatic of the utilitarian mindset of those who believe that the immigration laws shouldn't necessarily apply to everybody.

Elvira Arellano entered the United States illegally in 1997 and was apprehended and deported shortly thereafter. But apparently this didn't act as a deterrent for Ms. Arellano who again entered the United States illegally only a few days later and lived in Oregon for three years.

Now, keeping this in mind, what does the law say about Ms. Arellano's wanton disregard of immigration law? Based on the Immigration and Nationality Act illegal entry into the US constitutes a misdemeanor for first-time offenders, while persons who have been shown to repeatedly enter the US can be charged as felons. Eliminating the moral and philisophical aspect of the situation, Ms. Arellano knowingly broke the law. In a civilised society the rule of law is meant to prevail. Laws can be made and changed through the legislative process, but the laws, ridiculous or not, are binding. They aren't merely suggestions. I certainly don't get to choose which laws I will adhere to, and believe me, there a large number of them that I find absurd and wouldn't mind breaking. But breaking these laws, regardless of how asinine they may be, can also result in punishment.

In 2000, Ms. Arellano packed up and moved to Chicago with her son, whereupon she used a false Social Security number to gain employment at O'Hare International Airport as a cleaning woman. This would constitute her second conscious disregard of U.S. law. So when a security raid discovered that the Social Security number she was using was not hers and that she was not a legal resident of the United States, she was once again scheduled for deportation. The forgery and use of a false Social Security number is a serious offense, and one that might involve prison time for any legitimate citizen. But Ms. Arellano wasn't going to face prison or probation. She was going to be taken back to her country, where she could have immediately began filing for her work visa to enter the United States legally.

This is the nature of the law, like it or not.

I am not a racist. I don't hate immigrants. I don't hate Hispanics. I also understand the the main contributing factor to the illegal immigration problem is the companies that hire them. And I know there are a million different philisophical and economic arguments for or against an open immigration policy, but that isn't what this post is about. This post is about the legal grounds upon which Ms. Arellano was deported.

Even if you think our borders should be wide open to anyone who wants to live in this country, you can not deny that Ms. Arellano has repeatedly broken the law as it currently stands. She should therefore, in my opinion, be subject to the legal consequences, just as any other individual is.

It is unfortunate that the situation could ultimately divide Ms. Arellano and her son, at least temporarily, but we need to look at how it came to this point. We need to look at the case based on objective legal grounds. Children are separated from their parents by prison walls every day because of current laws regarding marijuana. It's absurd, but it's the law, and these people aren't allowed sanctuary inside of a church. They aren't allowed to take their children to prison with them. They are simply locked away until they have served their time, no questions, no sympathy, no real debate.

We, as a free nation, can debate the issue of immigration freely and if the country and congress so decide for an open border policy then so-be-it; but for now, for the sake of legal consistency, laws need to be upheld.

Friday, August 17, 2007

The Illinois G.O.P. Straw Poll: Shaking Up the Field Again


Yesterday a small band of G.O.P. loyalists got together for a little shin-dig at the Illinois State Fair in Springfield. The weather was rainy and the festivities short, but even with the inclimate whether, they still managed to make headlines with their first Straw Poll.

The Straw Poll didn't mean nearly as much as the one held in Iowa last Saturday, but it still holds some significance as an important event for an increasingly fractious and unpredictable Republican field.

With only 922 total votes cast in the poll, however, it isn't necessarily a scientific measurement of how the primary vote will turn out in Abe Lincoln's home state either. But, the interesting aspect of the Poll was that, unlike the Iowa event, all of the candidates were represented... and I don't think it turned out like anyone was expecting.

The Results:

1st- Mitt Romney- 40.35%
2nd- Fred Thompson- 19.96%
3rd- Ron Paul- 18.87%
4th- Rudy Giuliani- 11.61%
5th- John McCain- 4.12%
6th- Mike Huckabee- 3.04%
7th- Sam Brownback- 1.08%
8th- Duncan Hunter- .65%
9th- Tom Tancredo- .33%

Mitt Romney winning, just as in the Iowa Straw Poll, is not so surprising. He's got tons of campaign cash and his Illinois operation sent supporters to Springfield from Chicago suburbs to vote. It might be helping him in his overall battle with Rudy for the current top spot, but it doesn't necessarily mean a lot for his campaign in the long run, other than serving as a testiment to their organizational and transportation skills in mid-west states.

While headlines across the media read "Romney Wins Illinois Straw Poll", they should have read, "Two Top-Tier Candidates Beaten in Illinois Straw Poll by Undeclared and Fringe Candidates!". (If your a regular reader of this site, you know I don't consider Ron Paul a fringe candidate- I'm just writing the headline for the sake of consistency with the media's voice.)

The results of this Straw Poll are absolutely fascinating, even if they are only representative of 922 people. First there is, as mentioned earlier, Rudy and McCain's respective fourth and fifth place finishes. There's Ron Paul coming in second among declared candidates, and a very close third among all of them. Then you have Fred Thompson, a guy everybody talks about but nobody has really seen in the race, like some sort of G.O.P. phantom, beating the rest of the pack. And finally, poor Mike Huckabee, whose surprising second place finish in the Iowa Straw Poll seemed to assure a boost and rejuvination to his flagging campaign, coming in with a dismal three percent to place him in sixth. Even Tom Tancredo, who had spent a lot of time and money in Iowa and surprised everyone with a fourth place finish, came in dead last with literally only three votes. Needless to say it was more than a little inconsistent with the Iowa turnout.

So what does it really mean? Well, it means different things to different candidates:

Mitt Romney will tout it as a strong showing of support for his candidacy in Illinois. Which is rather inconsequential in the long-term, considering that the state is notoriously blue.

Fred Thompson's finish will give him just a bit more courage and incentive to finally man up and enter the race... or maybe it won't. Frankly, the guy's non-campaign is about as enigmatic as one can be. Who really knows what Fred is going to do?

Ron Paul's finish will boost the morale of his already fanatic supporters and should, but probably won't, get him the recognition he deserves from the mainstream press as a viable contender. He still has about six months to get the campaign kicked into high gear and move beyond a solely grassroots approach. I expect to see things continuing to amp up in the upcoming months. Debate appearances and a continual decline in the number of candidates should do wonders for Paul's national numbers.

Rudy Giuliani will say that the Poll didn't mean anything, and while it sincerely might not mean that much, G.O.P. voters in Iowa and Illinois aren't going to forget being shunned in the manner that Rudy has shunned them. Even as my post yesterday contemplated a potential Giuliani nomination, today I'm starting to wonder if his campaign isn't headed in the same direction McCain's was three months ago.

Mike Huckabee? The Illinois Poll is undoubtedly disappointing for a campaign seemingly poised to take off, but luckily for Mike his Iowa Stunner will have enough energy to get him through the news cycle regarding the tiny Illinois Straw Poll. What happens after that remains to be seen... but, truthfully, I don't see much.

And finally, what does it mean for Republican voters? It means that, with the primaries so far in the distance and a political landscape that can change in a day, there is a long way to go before a clear winner will emerge. So, sit back and enjoy the roller coaster ride.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

The Republican's Worst Nightmare: It Isn't What They Think

Since 1992 Republicans far and wide have possessed a religious-like hatred of all things Clinton. This hatred manifested itself most strongly in regards to Hillary Clinton. She's an opportunist, a liar, a cold and calculating political scam artist. Republicans across the country echoed these sentiments and they were and are correct in their evaluation. Which is why Republicans are now in an absolute clamor to keep Hillary from the White House and are also growing increasingly nervous as she appears to be slowly but surely locking down the nomination. It's almost as if, for Republicans, a Hillary Clinton presidency is indicitave of the Seventh Angel's opening of the Seventh Seal and thus signaling the fiery end of the world. While I certainly wouldn't take it that far, I will say that a Hillary Clinton presidency will not be a good thing for our country. And there are multiple reasons for my opinion on this, but, surprisingly, this post isn't about Hillary Clinton.

This post is about the Republican's unrealized nightmare; the thing that will, save for a miracle, undoubtedly ensure the inauguration of Mrs. Clinton in January of 2009. And that nightmare is...


Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket


... A Rudy Giuliani nomination.

Although it is still early on in the race, and the Republican field of candidates is much more volatile and unpredictable than the Democrat's, Rudy has a pretty strong foothold in the leader position.

This is pretty amazing in itself. As I have stated many times before, the Republicans seem to be putting on a display of how to lose a general election, and having a candidate like Rudy Giuliani with a clear lead only reinforces the assessment.

The Republicans of America seem hell-bent on having a candidate with a shadowy past; a candidate who has more strange appearances in costume than Dennis Rodman; and a candidate with more skeletons in his closet than Jeffrey Dahmer circa 1990. He's also a candidate that doesn't excite the base. He isn't going to send people running to the polls- unless they're the New Yorkers who want to cast a vote against him. When you ask a Republican who they are going to vote for, the answer all too often is something along the lines of, "I guess I'll vote for Giuliani... I'm not really sure."

Giuliani is simply put, a horrible candidate with a wide variety of past personal and professional issues.

Personally I think everybody should separate personal issues from the candidates policies, unless there is a conflict of interest involved, but this, admittedly, is wishful thinking. A politician's personal life is often the first thing placed under scrutiny, and the press will have a field day with Giuliani's. They'll start with his apparent penchant for dressing in drag, then they'll move onto his divorces. They'll discuss in detail his estranged relationship with his daughter. Then they'll move onto the fact that he was once married to his cousin; it's his second cousin to be accurate, but who besides Fox News is really going to make an honest effort to point that out. They might talk about Rudy rooming with gay friends after one of the divorces; subtely suggesting that Rudy might be batting for both teams. It's petty and meaningless, but it isn't pretty, and they will definitely bring these things up. What's worse? These are only his personal problems.

The real disturbing information comes from Giuliani's professional life. Because the 9/11 attacks and his subsequent reaction as mayor catapulted him out of severely slumped approval ratings and onto the national stage, he has obviously made terrorism and national defense the cornerstone of his campaign. But there's just a couple of problems with that. First, the NYFD Union has publicly blasted Giuliani for his lack of action regarding recommended changes after the first attack on the World Trade Center in 1993. Then Rudy, who no doubt had to make a request for it, was appointed to be on the Iraq Study Group- the one that released the now famous report on Iraq in December of 2006. This would finally give Rudy a chance to show America that he was capable of problem solving and thinking on a global scale. But what did he do with the opportunity? He just didn't bother showing up. He continued to be absent from the meetings until he was finally asked to either quit or start taking the appointment seriously, upon which time he quit. Seriously, how can anybody view the guy as a legitimate authority on national security when he doesn't even bother showing up for the meetings? Not to mention that based on his reactionary yelling at Ron Paul during the May 15th presidential debates, Rudy doesn't seem to have even read the 9/11 Commission Report.

Giuliani is also an attorney. In fact, he started his political climb as the District Attorney for New York City. After his departure from the mayor's office, Rudy ran his law firm Bracewell & Giuliani. Unfortunately for Giuliani (and America), his law firm has a client list that is decidely sordid. It includes Saudi Arabia and Rubert Murdoch's News Corp. (which would seem to be a conflict of interest, but apparently somehow isn't). Some members of his clientele go a long way in showing that Giuliani isn't so much concerned with the U.S. best interests, but more concerned with his own financial interest.

In his defense, Rudy has at least been rhetorically strong against foreign enemies and terrorists. Regarding Hugo Chavez for instance, Rudy's office made the following statement:

"Mayor Giuliani believes Hugo Chavez is not a friend of the United States, and his influence continues to grow because of our increasing reliance on Foreign sources of oil."

That's great. He's right, we are increasing our enemies influence with our dependence on their oil. The problem is that while Hugo Chavez might not be a friend of the U.S., he is apparently a friend of Giuliani's, considering the $100,000 to $200,000 paid to Bracewell & Giuliani for their lobbying efforts on behalf of Citgo Oil.

The point to all of this is, if Giuliani gets the nomination, a Hillary Clinton win is nearly certain. With his troubled and ambiguous past, he just isn't electable. And yet Republicans seem poised to offer him up, with little excitement, in 2008. After his loss, many will complain and Hillary will recieve the brunt of the Republican anger and blame. The truth is the blame will rest squarely on their shoulders for choosing such a poor candidate. But they don't have to.

Republicans face a critical choice in the upcoming primaries; they can either stick to the 9/11, War on Terror, World Police formula and get their asses handed to them again in 2008, or they can make a much needed change and go back to their initial principles of small government, personal responsibility, and individual and economic freedom. They can nominate Ron Paul and have a much better shot at winning the general election, and most importantly, avoid being swept slowly into the dust bin of history.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Globalization: Liberalism's Disasterous Gamble


From Venezuela to Thailand, democratic regimes are being toppled by authoritarian substitutes: the military, charismatic left-wingers, or mere populists. Even in the USA, the bastion of constitutional rule, civil and human rights are being alarmingly eroded (though not without precedent in wartime).

The prominent ideologues of liberal democracy have committed a grave error by linking themselves inextricably with the doctrine of freemarketry and the emerging new order of globalization. As Thomas Friedman correctly observes in "The Lexus and the Olive Tree", both strains of thought are strongly identified with the United States of America (USA).

Thus, liberal democracy came to be perceived by the multitudes as a ruse intended to safeguard the interests of an emerging, malignantly narcissistic empire (the USA) and of rapacious multinationals. Liberal democracy came to be identified with numbing, low-brow cultural homogeneity, encroachment on privacy and the individual, and suppression of national and other idiosyncratic sentiments.

Liberal democracy came to be confused and confuted with neo-colonial exploitation, social Darwinism, and the crumbling of social compacts and long-standing treaties, both explicit and implicit. It even came to be associated with materialism and a bewildering variety of social ills: rising crime rates, unemployment, poverty, drug addiction, prostitution, organ trafficking, monopolistic behavior, corporate malfeasance, and other antisocial forms of conduct.

The backlash was, thus, inevitable.

"Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful concerned individuals can precipitate change in the world ... indeed, it is the only thing that ever has"

(Margaret Mead)

I. The Democratic Ideal and New Colonialism

"Democracy" is not the rule of the people. It is government by periodically vetted representatives of the people.

Democracy is not tantamount to a continuous expression of the popular will as it pertains to a range of issues. Functioning and fair democracy is representative and not participatory. Participatory "people power" is mob rule, not democracy.

Granted, "people power" is often required in order to establish democracy where it is unprecedented. Revolutions - velvet, rose, and orange - recently introduced democracy in Eastern Europe, for instance. People power - mass street demonstrations - toppled obnoxious dictatorships from Iran to the Philippines and from Peru to Indonesia.

But once the institutions of democracy are in place and more or less functional, the people can and must rest. They should let their chosen delegates do the job they were elected to do. And they must hold their emissaries responsible and accountable in fair and free ballots once every two or four or five years.

As heads of the state in Latin America, Africa, Asia, and East Europe can attest, these vital lessons are lost on the dozens of "new democracies" the world over. Many of these presidents and prime ministers, though democratically elected (multiply, in some cases), have fallen prey to enraged and vigorous "people power" movements in their countries.

And these breaches of the democratic tradition are not the only or most egregious ones.

The West boasts of the three waves of democratization that swept across the world 1975. Yet, in most developing countries and nations in transition, "democracy" is an empty word. Granted, the hallmarks of democracy are there: candidate lists, parties, election propaganda, and voting. But its quiddity is absent. It is being consistently hollowed out and rendered mock by election fraud, exclusionary policies, cronyism, corruption, intimidation, and collusion with Western interests, both commercial and political.

The new "democracies" are thinly-disguised and criminalized plutocracies (recall the Russian oligarchs), authoritarian regimes (Central Asia and the Caucasus), or Vichy-like heterarchies (Macedonia, Bosnia, and Iraq, to mention three recent examples).

The new "democracies" suffer from many of the same ills that afflict their veteran role models: murky campaign finances, venal revolving doors between state administration and private enterprise, endemic corruption, self-censoring media, socially, economically, and politically excluded minorities, and so on. But while this malaise does not threaten the foundations of the United States and France - it does imperil the stability and future of the likes of Ukraine, Serbia, and Moldova, Indonesia, Mexico, and Bolivia.

Worse still, the West has transformed the ideal of democracy into an ideology at the service of imposing a new colonial regime on its former colonies. Spearheaded by the United States, the white and Christian nations of the West embarked with missionary zeal on a transformation, willy-nilly, of their erstwhile charges into paragons of democracy and good governance.

And not for the first time. Napoleon justified his gory campaigns by claiming that they served to spread French ideals throughout a barbarous world. Kipling bemoaned the "White Man's (civilizing) burden", referring specifically to Britain's role in India. Hitler believed himself to be the last remaining barrier between the hordes of Bolshevism and the West. The Vatican concurred with him.

This self-righteousness would have been more tolerable had the West actually meant and practiced what it preached, however self-delusionally. Yet, in dozens of cases in the last 60 years alone, Western countries intervened, often by force of arms, to reverse and nullify the outcomes of perfectly legal and legitimate popular and democratic elections. They did so because of economic and geopolitical interests and they usually installed rabid dictators in place of the deposed elected functionaries.

This hypocrisy cost them dearly. Few in the poor and developing world believe that the United States or any of its allies are out to further the causes of democracy, human rights, and global peace. The nations of the West have sown cynicism and they are reaping strife and terrorism in return.

Moreover, democracy is far from what it is made out to be. Confronted with history, the myth breaks down.

For instance, it is maintained by their chief proponents that democracies are more peaceful than dictatorships. But the two most belligerent countries in the world are, by a wide margin, Israel and the United States (closely followed by the United Kingdom). As of late, China is one of the most tranquil polities.

Democracies are said to be inherently stable (or to successfully incorporate the instability inherent in politics). This, too, is a confabulation. The Weimar Republic gave birth to Adolf Hitler and Italy had almost 50 governments in as many years. The bloodiest civil wars in history erupted in Republican Spain and, seven decades earlier, in the United States. Czechoslovakia, the USSR, and Yugoslavia imploded upon becoming democratic, having survived intact for more than half a century as tyrannies.

Democracies are said to be conducive to economic growth (indeed, to be a prerequisite to such). But the fastest economic growth rates in history go to imperial Rome, Nazi Germany, Stalinist Russia, and post-Mao China.

Finally, how represented is the vox populi even in established democracies?

In a democracy, people can freely protest and make their opinions known, no doubt. Sometimes, they can even change their representatives (though the rate of turnover in the US Congress in the last two decades is lower than it was in the last 20 years of the Politburo).

But is this a sufficient incentive (or deterrent)? The members of the various elites in Western democracies are mobile - they ceaselessly and facilely hop from one lucrative sinecure to another. Lost the elections as a Senator? How about a multi-million dollar book contract, a consultant position with a firm you formerly oversaw or regulated, your own talk show on television, a cushy job in the administration?

The truth is that voters are powerless. The rich and mighty take care of their own. Malfeasance carries little risk and rarely any sanction. Western democracies are ossified bastions of self-perpetuating interest groups aided and abetted and legitimized by the ritualized spectacle that we call "elections". And don't you think the denizens of Africa and Asia and eastern Europe and the Middle East are blissfully unaware of this charade.

II. Democracy and Empire

As the United states is re-discovering in Iraq and Israel in Palestine, maintaining democratic institutions and empire-building are incompatible activities. History repeatedly shows that one cannot preserve a democratic core in conjunction with an oppressed periphery of colonial real estate.

The role of imperial power entails the suppression, subversion, or manipulation of all forms of free speech, governance, and elections. It usually involves unsavory practices such as torture, illegal confinement, assassinations, and collusion with organized crime. Empires typically degenerate into an abyss of corruption, megalomaniacal projects, deceit, paranoia, and self-directed aggression.

The annals of both Rome and Britain teach us that, as democracy grows entrenched, empires disintegrate fitfully. Rome chose to keep its empire by sacrificing its republic. Britain chose to democratize by letting go of its unwieldy holdings overseas. Both policies failed to uphold their erstwhile social institutions while they grappled with their smothering possessions.

by: Sam Vaknin

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Karl Rove's Resignation: What does it mean?


"...and then I was like, dude, smell my finger."


The news of Karl Rove resignation on Monday came as a shock to some, but a relief to many. While many Democrats rejoiced, talking of continuing investigations, and while some Republicans commented on an impressive career as a political strategist, everybody speculated on what the departure of "The Architect" means for the already troubled White House. Does it mean upcoming indictments? Or can we take the explanation, Rove's desire to spend more time teaching and with family, at face value? Does it signal Rove's acknowledgement of Bush's lame-duck presidency?

Peter Baker and Michael A. Fletcher of the Washington Post noted, "The White House labored to dismiss the sense that Rove's resignation underscores a lame-duck presidency, even as it felt like an era was coming to an end on the South Lawn yesterday morning."

The cookie cutter dismissal is completely laughable. Of course it underscores a lame-duck presidency; a presidency that has been unable to accomplish much of anything since the beginning of its second term (The exact time of its total power dissapativity can be argued, but I say it can be pin-pointed, at least the final nail in the coffin so-to-speak, to Hurricane Katrina). But how did Rove and the administration go from a seemingly unstoppable political machine, to a political pariah? How did Rove become the equivalent of a leper in Washington, the place often considered his personal playground during the Presidents first term?

Simply put, the answer lies in the desert sand of the Middle East.

The downfall of Rove and ultimately the Bush Administration can be attributed to a grand and uncompromising vision, forged by the 9/11 terror attacks and held aloft by a Republican super-majority, of the United States' role as peace-maker and divine liberator of the world.

In implementing this policy and vision, Rove and the Administration were all too willing to make huge gambles, huge leaps of faith, bolstered by a naive confidence that the end result would be worth it and the people of America would be more than willing to go along for the ride.

And so, armed with the grand vision and cajones the size of John Wayne's 10 gallon cowboy hat, they threw caution to the wind and made the call that would ultimately become the legacy of the Bush Administration; the call that would erradicate the idea of a Republican super-majority, or even a Republican win, for decades to come.

Like the political theory of Communism, Rove and the Administration, failed to factor in the fickleness and unmatched restlessness of human nature They failed to accurately assess the long-term will of the American Public, and therefore underestimated the ability of popular opinion to swing against them. They also underestimated the ferocity and cunningness of the Washington Democrats to wage an all out political war.

All of the rest- Hurricane Katrina, the Attorney Firings, the Valerie Plame leak scandal- certainly didn't help, but the Iraq invasion blunder and subsequent mishandling effectively dismembered the legacy of the Bush administration and the notion of Rove as a political mastermind.

But what happens now? Does Rove's resignation signal the end of the bipartisan stalemate in Washington? Will the Democrats be satisfied with Rove's "walk-of-shame" back to Texas? No. In the short-term it means absolutely nothing, other than the acknowledgement of the end of a disappointing presidency. The Democrats will continue to push for an indictment, and will likely never get a result that they will find satisfactory- even as they seemingly ride Rove and Bush to the White House. And during the next presidency, whichever party controls the West Wing, both parties will find new boogey men to unearth and rail against, and thus Washington will continue in the same manner as it always has.

The only concrete hope that my cynical heart gains from all of this, is the possibility that we may never again be subject to such a cringe-worthy scene as the following: